Siamese Asset (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.5

SA Stock  THB 7.45  0.05  0.67%   
Siamese Asset's future price is the expected price of Siamese Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siamese Asset Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siamese Asset Backtesting, Siamese Asset Valuation, Siamese Asset Correlation, Siamese Asset Hype Analysis, Siamese Asset Volatility, Siamese Asset History as well as Siamese Asset Performance.
  
Please specify Siamese Asset's target price for which you would like Siamese Asset odds to be computed.

Siamese Asset Target Price Odds to finish below 7.5

The tendency of Siamese Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  7.50  after 90 days
 7.45 90 days 7.50 
about 48.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siamese Asset to stay under  7.50  after 90 days from now is about 48.91 (This Siamese Asset Public probability density function shows the probability of Siamese Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siamese Asset Public price to stay between its current price of  7.45  and  7.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Siamese Asset Public has a beta of -0.032. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Siamese Asset are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Siamese Asset Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Siamese Asset Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Siamese Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siamese Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siamese Asset Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.787.458.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.637.307.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.797.478.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.367.447.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siamese Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siamese Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siamese Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Siamese Asset Public.

Siamese Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siamese Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siamese Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siamese Asset Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siamese Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Siamese Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siamese Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siamese Asset Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siamese Asset Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Siamese Asset Public has accumulated about 424.63 M in cash with (480.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Siamese Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siamese Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siamese Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siamese Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Siamese Asset Technical Analysis

Siamese Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siamese Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siamese Asset Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siamese Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siamese Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Siamese Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siamese Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siamese Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siamese Asset Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siamese Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siamese Asset Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siamese Asset Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Siamese Asset Public has accumulated about 424.63 M in cash with (480.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Roughly 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Siamese Stock

Siamese Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siamese Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siamese with respect to the benefits of owning Siamese Asset security.