Sandfire Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.88
| S2Z Stock | EUR 5.45 0.25 4.39% |
Sandfire |
Sandfire Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 11.88
The tendency of Sandfire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 11.88 or more in 90 days |
| 5.45 | 90 days | 11.88 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sandfire Resources to move over € 11.88 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sandfire Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Sandfire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sandfire Resources price to stay between its current price of € 5.45 and € 11.88 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sandfire Resources has a beta of 0.0952. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sandfire Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sandfire Resources Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sandfire Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sandfire Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sandfire Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sandfire Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sandfire Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sandfire Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sandfire Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sandfire Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sandfire Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0036 |
Sandfire Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sandfire Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sandfire Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sandfire Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sandfire Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Sandfire Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sandfire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sandfire Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sandfire Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 410 M |
Sandfire Resources Technical Analysis
Sandfire Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sandfire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sandfire Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sandfire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sandfire Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Sandfire Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sandfire Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sandfire Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sandfire Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sandfire Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sandfire Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sandfire Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sandfire Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Sandfire Stock
Sandfire Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sandfire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sandfire with respect to the benefits of owning Sandfire Resources security.