Capital World Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 68.98

RWIFX Fund  USD 69.25  0.31  0.45%   
Capital World's future price is the expected price of Capital World instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital World Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital World Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Capital World Correlation, Capital World Hype Analysis, Capital World Volatility, Capital World History as well as Capital World Performance.
  
Please specify Capital World's target price for which you would like Capital World odds to be computed.

Capital World Target Price Odds to finish below 68.98

The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 68.98  or more in 90 days
 69.25 90 days 68.98 
about 77.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital World to drop to $ 68.98  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.19 (This Capital World Growth probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital World Growth price to stay between $ 68.98  and its current price of $69.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital World has a beta of 0.0032 indicating as returns on the market go up, Capital World average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital World Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital World Growth has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital World Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital World Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.5969.2569.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.3374.2574.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.2969.9570.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.0568.7269.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital World. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital World's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital World's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital World Growth.

Capital World Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital World Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Capital World Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital World Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.11% of its assets in cash

Capital World Technical Analysis

Capital World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital World Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital World Predictive Forecast Models

Capital World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital World's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital World Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital World Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.11% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund

Capital World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital World security.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk