Raytheon Technologies Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 118.68
| RTX Stock | USD 117.61 1.03 0.88% |
Closest to current price Raytheon long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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Raytheon Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 118.68
The tendency of Raytheon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 118.68 after 90 days |
| 117.61 | 90 days | 118.68 | about 18.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raytheon Technologies to stay under $ 118.68 after 90 days from now is about 18.66 (This Raytheon Technologies Corp probability density function shows the probability of Raytheon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raytheon Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 117.61 and $ 118.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.05 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Raytheon Technologies has a beta of 0.54 indicating as returns on the market go up, Raytheon Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Raytheon Technologies Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Raytheon Technologies Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Raytheon Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Raytheon Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raytheon Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Raytheon Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Raytheon Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raytheon Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raytheon Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raytheon Technologies Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raytheon Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Raytheon Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raytheon Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raytheon Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Raytheon Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Raytheon Technologies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Raytheon Technologies paid $ 0.63 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 3830 shares by Brunk Troy D of Raytheon Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Raytheon Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raytheon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raytheon Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raytheon Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 B |
Raytheon Technologies Technical Analysis
Raytheon Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raytheon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raytheon Technologies Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raytheon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raytheon Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Raytheon Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Raytheon Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raytheon Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Raytheon Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Raytheon Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raytheon Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Raytheon Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Raytheon Technologies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Raytheon Technologies paid $ 0.63 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 3830 shares by Brunk Troy D of Raytheon Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Raytheon Stock Analysis
When running Raytheon Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Raytheon Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raytheon Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Raytheon Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raytheon Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raytheon Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raytheon Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.