Rex Trueform (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1530.0

RTN Stock   1,172  0.00  0.00%   
Rex Trueform's future price is the expected price of Rex Trueform instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rex Trueform Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rex Trueform Backtesting, Rex Trueform Valuation, Rex Trueform Correlation, Rex Trueform Hype Analysis, Rex Trueform Volatility, Rex Trueform History as well as Rex Trueform Performance.
  
Please specify Rex Trueform's target price for which you would like Rex Trueform odds to be computed.

Rex Trueform Target Price Odds to finish over 1530.0

The tendency of Rex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1,530  or more in 90 days
 1,172 90 days 1,530 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rex Trueform to move over  1,530  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rex Trueform Group probability density function shows the probability of Rex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rex Trueform Group price to stay between its current price of  1,172  and  1,530  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rex Trueform has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero indicating the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Rex Trueform do not appear to be highly-sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Rex Trueform's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Rex Trueform Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rex Trueform

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rex Trueform Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1711,1721,173
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0551,1881,189
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1611,1621,163
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1721,1721,172
Details

Rex Trueform Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rex Trueform is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rex Trueform's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rex Trueform Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rex Trueform within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
26.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Rex Trueform Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rex Trueform for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rex Trueform Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rex Trueform Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rex Trueform Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rex Trueform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rex Trueform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.7 M

Rex Trueform Technical Analysis

Rex Trueform's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rex Trueform Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rex Trueform Predictive Forecast Models

Rex Trueform's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rex Trueform's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rex Trueform's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rex Trueform Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rex Trueform for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rex Trueform Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rex Trueform Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rex Stock

Rex Trueform financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rex with respect to the benefits of owning Rex Trueform security.