Restaurant Brands International Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 70.23

RSTRFDelisted Stock  USD 70.08  0.00  0.00%   
Restaurant Brands' future price is the expected price of Restaurant Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Restaurant Brands International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Please specify Restaurant Brands' target price for which you would like Restaurant Brands odds to be computed.

Restaurant Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 70.23

The tendency of Restaurant Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 70.23  or more in 90 days
 70.08 90 days 70.23 
about 40.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Restaurant Brands to move over $ 70.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.37 (This Restaurant Brands International probability density function shows the probability of Restaurant Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Restaurant Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 70.08  and $ 70.23  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Restaurant Brands has a beta of 0.4 indicating as returns on the market go up, Restaurant Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Restaurant Brands International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Restaurant Brands International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Restaurant Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Restaurant Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Restaurant Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.9370.0870.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.4859.6377.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.2568.4068.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.9070.0671.22
Details

Restaurant Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Restaurant Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Restaurant Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Restaurant Brands International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Restaurant Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Restaurant Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Restaurant Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Restaurant Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Restaurant Brands is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Restaurant Brands has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Restaurant is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Restaurant Brands International has accumulated 12.92 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.71, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Restaurant Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Restaurant Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Restaurant Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Restaurant Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Restaurant Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of Restaurant Brands shares are owned by institutional investors

Restaurant Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Restaurant Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Restaurant Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Restaurant Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding302 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Restaurant Brands Technical Analysis

Restaurant Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Restaurant Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Restaurant Brands International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Restaurant Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Restaurant Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Restaurant Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Restaurant Brands' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Restaurant Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Restaurant Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Restaurant Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Restaurant Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Restaurant Brands is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Restaurant Brands has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Restaurant is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Restaurant Brands International has accumulated 12.92 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.71, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Restaurant Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Restaurant Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Restaurant Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Restaurant Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Restaurant Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of Restaurant Brands shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Restaurant Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Restaurant Brands check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Restaurant Brands' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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