RS Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.76

RS-R Stock   5.70  0.05  0.87%   
RS Public's future price is the expected price of RS Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RS Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RS Public Backtesting, RS Public Valuation, RS Public Correlation, RS Public Hype Analysis, RS Public Volatility, RS Public History as well as RS Public Performance.
  
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RS Public Target Price Odds to finish over 5.76

The tendency of RS-R Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.76  or more in 90 days
 5.70 90 days 5.76 
about 74.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RS Public to move over  5.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 74.96 (This RS Public probability density function shows the probability of RS-R Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RS Public price to stay between its current price of  5.70  and  5.76  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RS Public has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, RS Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RS Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RS Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RS Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RS Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RS Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.295.75580.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.67579.67
Details

RS Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RS Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RS Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RS Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RS Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

RS Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RS Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RS Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RS Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
RS Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

RS Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RS-R Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RS Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RS Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding957.5 M

RS Public Technical Analysis

RS Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RS-R Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RS Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing RS-R Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RS Public Predictive Forecast Models

RS Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many RS Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RS Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RS Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about RS Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RS Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RS Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
RS Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in RS-R Stock

RS Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether RS-R Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RS-R with respect to the benefits of owning RS Public security.