Rolls Royce (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.57
| RRU Stock | EUR 7.05 0.04 0.56% |
Rolls |
Rolls Royce Target Price Odds to finish below 3.57
The tendency of Rolls Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.57 or more in 90 days |
| 7.05 | 90 days | 3.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rolls Royce to drop to € 3.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rolls Royce Holdings plc probability density function shows the probability of Rolls Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rolls Royce Holdings price to stay between € 3.57 and its current price of €7.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rolls Royce Holdings plc has a beta of -0.41 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rolls Royce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rolls Royce Holdings plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rolls Royce Holdings plc has an alpha of 0.3712, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rolls Royce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rolls Royce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rolls Royce Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rolls Royce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rolls Royce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rolls Royce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rolls Royce Holdings plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rolls Royce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Rolls Royce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rolls Royce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rolls Royce Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rolls Royce Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.27 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.76 B. | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Rolls Royce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rolls Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rolls Royce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rolls Royce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.4 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.14 | |
| Shares Float | 8.2 B |
Rolls Royce Technical Analysis
Rolls Royce's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rolls Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rolls Royce Holdings plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rolls Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rolls Royce Predictive Forecast Models
Rolls Royce's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rolls Royce's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rolls Royce's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rolls Royce Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rolls Royce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rolls Royce Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rolls Royce Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.27 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.76 B. | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Rolls Stock
Rolls Royce financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rolls Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rolls with respect to the benefits of owning Rolls Royce security.