Expat Romania (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 1.10
| ROX Etf | 2.10 0.01 0.47% |
Expat |
Expat Romania Target Price Odds to finish below 1.10
The tendency of Expat Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.10 or more in 90 days |
| 2.10 | 90 days | 1.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expat Romania to drop to 1.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Expat Romania BET probability density function shows the probability of Expat Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Expat Romania BET price to stay between 1.10 and its current price of 2.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Expat Romania has a beta of 0.0827 indicating as returns on the market go up, Expat Romania average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Expat Romania BET will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Expat Romania BET has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Expat Romania Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Expat Romania
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expat Romania BET. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expat Romania's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Expat Romania Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expat Romania is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expat Romania's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expat Romania BET, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expat Romania within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Expat Romania Technical Analysis
Expat Romania's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expat Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expat Romania BET. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expat Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Expat Romania Predictive Forecast Models
Expat Romania's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expat Romania's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expat Romania's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Expat Romania in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Expat Romania's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Expat Romania options trading.