RMB Holdings (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 35.54
| RMH Stock | 44.00 1.00 2.22% |
RMB |
RMB Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 35.54
The tendency of RMB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 35.54 or more in 90 days |
| 44.00 | 90 days | 35.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RMB Holdings to drop to 35.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This RMB Holdings probability density function shows the probability of RMB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RMB Holdings price to stay between 35.54 and its current price of 44.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RMB Holdings has a beta of -0.0207 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RMB Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RMB Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RMB Holdings has an alpha of 0.1893, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RMB Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RMB Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RMB Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RMB Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RMB Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RMB Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RMB Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RMB Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
RMB Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RMB Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RMB Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RMB Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations |
RMB Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RMB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RMB Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RMB Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76 M |
RMB Holdings Technical Analysis
RMB Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RMB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RMB Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing RMB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RMB Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
RMB Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many RMB Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RMB Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RMB Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about RMB Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RMB Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RMB Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in RMB Stock
RMB Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether RMB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RMB with respect to the benefits of owning RMB Holdings security.