Reckitt Benckiser (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4861.0

RKT Stock   4,837  2.00  0.04%   
Reckitt Benckiser's future price is the expected price of Reckitt Benckiser instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reckitt Benckiser Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reckitt Benckiser Backtesting, Reckitt Benckiser Valuation, Reckitt Benckiser Correlation, Reckitt Benckiser Hype Analysis, Reckitt Benckiser Volatility, Reckitt Benckiser History as well as Reckitt Benckiser Performance.
  
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Reckitt Benckiser Target Price Odds to finish over 4861.0

The tendency of Reckitt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4,861  or more in 90 days
 4,837 90 days 4,861 
about 14.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reckitt Benckiser to move over  4,861  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.88 (This Reckitt Benckiser Group probability density function shows the probability of Reckitt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reckitt Benckiser price to stay between its current price of  4,837  and  4,861  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Reckitt Benckiser Group has a beta of -0.29 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Reckitt Benckiser are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Reckitt Benckiser Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Reckitt Benckiser Group has an alpha of 0.1184, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reckitt Benckiser Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reckitt Benckiser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reckitt Benckiser. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,8204,8215,318
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0234,0245,318
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,7494,7514,752
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.790.81
Details

Reckitt Benckiser Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reckitt Benckiser is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reckitt Benckiser's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reckitt Benckiser Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reckitt Benckiser within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
124.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Reckitt Benckiser Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reckitt Benckiser for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reckitt Benckiser can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Reckitt Benckiser to start last half of GBP1 billion buyback - Marketscreener.com

Reckitt Benckiser Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reckitt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reckitt Benckiser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reckitt Benckiser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding718.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Reckitt Benckiser Technical Analysis

Reckitt Benckiser's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reckitt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reckitt Benckiser Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reckitt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reckitt Benckiser Predictive Forecast Models

Reckitt Benckiser's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reckitt Benckiser's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reckitt Benckiser's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reckitt Benckiser

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reckitt Benckiser for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reckitt Benckiser help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Reckitt Benckiser to start last half of GBP1 billion buyback - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Reckitt Stock

Reckitt Benckiser financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reckitt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reckitt with respect to the benefits of owning Reckitt Benckiser security.