Rocket Internet (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.5
| RKET Stock | EUR 14.50 0.20 1.36% |
Rocket |
Rocket Internet Target Price Odds to finish over 14.5
The tendency of Rocket Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.50 | 90 days | 14.50 | about 52.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rocket Internet to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 52.22 (This Rocket Internet SE probability density function shows the probability of Rocket Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rocket Internet has a beta of 0.0267 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rocket Internet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rocket Internet SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rocket Internet SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rocket Internet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rocket Internet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocket Internet SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rocket Internet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rocket Internet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rocket Internet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rocket Internet SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rocket Internet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Rocket Internet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rocket Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rocket Internet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rocket Internet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.9 M |
Rocket Internet Technical Analysis
Rocket Internet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rocket Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rocket Internet SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rocket Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rocket Internet Predictive Forecast Models
Rocket Internet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rocket Internet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rocket Internet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Rocket Internet in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Rocket Internet's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Rocket Internet options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Rocket Stock
Rocket Internet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rocket Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rocket with respect to the benefits of owning Rocket Internet security.