Rock Tech (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.45

RJIB Stock  EUR 0.69  0.13  23.21%   
Rock Tech's future price is the expected price of Rock Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rock Tech Lithium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rock Tech Backtesting, Rock Tech Valuation, Rock Tech Correlation, Rock Tech Hype Analysis, Rock Tech Volatility, Rock Tech History as well as Rock Tech Performance.
  
Please specify Rock Tech's target price for which you would like Rock Tech odds to be computed.

Rock Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 17.45

The tendency of Rock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 17.45  or more in 90 days
 0.69 90 days 17.45 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rock Tech to move over € 17.45  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Rock Tech Lithium probability density function shows the probability of Rock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rock Tech Lithium price to stay between its current price of € 0.69  and € 17.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rock Tech has a beta of 0.94 indicating Rock Tech Lithium market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rock Tech is expected to follow. Additionally Rock Tech Lithium has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rock Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rock Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rock Tech Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.696.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.595.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.625.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.060.631.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rock Tech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rock Tech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rock Tech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rock Tech Lithium.

Rock Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rock Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rock Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rock Tech Lithium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rock Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Rock Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rock Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rock Tech Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rock Tech Lithium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rock Tech Lithium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rock Tech Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rock Tech Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (22.16 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.18 K).
Rock Tech Lithium has accumulated about 17.31 M in cash with (14.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31.

Rock Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rock Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rock Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.5 M

Rock Tech Technical Analysis

Rock Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rock Tech Lithium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rock Tech Predictive Forecast Models

Rock Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rock Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rock Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rock Tech Lithium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rock Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rock Tech Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rock Tech Lithium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rock Tech Lithium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rock Tech Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rock Tech Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (22.16 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.18 K).
Rock Tech Lithium has accumulated about 17.31 M in cash with (14.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31.

Other Information on Investing in Rock Stock

Rock Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rock Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rock with respect to the benefits of owning Rock Tech security.