Reitar Logtech Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.77

RITR Stock   4.20  0.05  1.20%   
Reitar Logtech's future price is the expected price of Reitar Logtech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reitar Logtech Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reitar Logtech Backtesting, Reitar Logtech Valuation, Reitar Logtech Correlation, Reitar Logtech Hype Analysis, Reitar Logtech Volatility, Reitar Logtech History as well as Reitar Logtech Performance.
  
Please specify Reitar Logtech's target price for which you would like Reitar Logtech odds to be computed.

Reitar Logtech Target Price Odds to finish below 3.77

The tendency of Reitar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.77  or more in 90 days
 4.20 90 days 3.77 
about 14.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reitar Logtech to drop to  3.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.89 (This Reitar Logtech Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Reitar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reitar Logtech Holdings price to stay between  3.77  and its current price of 4.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.16 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Reitar Logtech has a beta of 0.92 indicating Reitar Logtech Holdings market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Reitar Logtech is expected to follow. Additionally Reitar Logtech Holdings has an alpha of 0.403, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reitar Logtech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reitar Logtech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reitar Logtech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reitar Logtech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.3215.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.8815.63
Details

Reitar Logtech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reitar Logtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reitar Logtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reitar Logtech Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reitar Logtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Reitar Logtech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reitar Logtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reitar Logtech Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reitar Logtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reitar Logtech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. stocks mixed at close of trade Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.17 percent - Investing.com

Reitar Logtech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reitar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reitar Logtech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reitar Logtech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60 M

Reitar Logtech Technical Analysis

Reitar Logtech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reitar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reitar Logtech Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reitar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reitar Logtech Predictive Forecast Models

Reitar Logtech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reitar Logtech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reitar Logtech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reitar Logtech Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reitar Logtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reitar Logtech Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reitar Logtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reitar Logtech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. stocks mixed at close of trade Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.17 percent - Investing.com

Additional Tools for Reitar Stock Analysis

When running Reitar Logtech's price analysis, check to measure Reitar Logtech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reitar Logtech is operating at the current time. Most of Reitar Logtech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reitar Logtech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reitar Logtech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reitar Logtech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.