Jaya Sukses (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 993.53
| RISE Stock | 1,055 15.00 1.44% |
Jaya |
Jaya Sukses Target Price Odds to finish below 993.53
The tendency of Jaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 993.53 or more in 90 days |
| 1,055 | 90 days | 993.53 | about 46.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jaya Sukses to drop to 993.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.07 (This Jaya Sukses Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Jaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jaya Sukses Makmur price to stay between 993.53 and its current price of 1055.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jaya Sukses Makmur has a beta of -0.0592 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jaya Sukses are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jaya Sukses Makmur is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jaya Sukses Makmur has an alpha of 0.0937, implying that it can generate a 0.0937 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jaya Sukses Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jaya Sukses
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jaya Sukses Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jaya Sukses Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jaya Sukses is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jaya Sukses' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jaya Sukses Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jaya Sukses within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Jaya Sukses Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jaya Sukses for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jaya Sukses Makmur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jaya Sukses generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Jaya Sukses Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jaya Sukses' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaya Sukses' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 332 B |
Jaya Sukses Technical Analysis
Jaya Sukses' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jaya Sukses Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jaya Sukses Predictive Forecast Models
Jaya Sukses' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jaya Sukses' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jaya Sukses' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jaya Sukses Makmur
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jaya Sukses for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jaya Sukses Makmur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jaya Sukses generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jaya Stock
Jaya Sukses financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jaya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jaya with respect to the benefits of owning Jaya Sukses security.