REGAL ASIAN (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.77

RG8 Stock   1.96  0.01  0.51%   
REGAL ASIAN's future price is the expected price of REGAL ASIAN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out REGAL ASIAN Backtesting, REGAL ASIAN Valuation, REGAL ASIAN Correlation, REGAL ASIAN Hype Analysis, REGAL ASIAN Volatility, REGAL ASIAN History as well as REGAL ASIAN Performance.
  
Please specify REGAL ASIAN's target price for which you would like REGAL ASIAN odds to be computed.

REGAL ASIAN Target Price Odds to finish over 6.77

The tendency of REGAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  6.77  or more in 90 days
 1.96 90 days 6.77 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REGAL ASIAN to move over  6.77  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS probability density function shows the probability of REGAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS price to stay between its current price of  1.96  and  6.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon REGAL ASIAN has a beta of 0.41 indicating as returns on the market go up, REGAL ASIAN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   REGAL ASIAN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for REGAL ASIAN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.391.963.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.472.043.62
Details

REGAL ASIAN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REGAL ASIAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REGAL ASIAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REGAL ASIAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

REGAL ASIAN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REGAL ASIAN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REGAL ASIAN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
REGAL ASIAN may become a speculative penny stock
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Asian Investments Boosts Shareholder Value with Buy-Back - TipRanks

REGAL ASIAN Technical Analysis

REGAL ASIAN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. REGAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS. In general, you should focus on analyzing REGAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

REGAL ASIAN Predictive Forecast Models

REGAL ASIAN's time-series forecasting models is one of many REGAL ASIAN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary REGAL ASIAN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS

Checking the ongoing alerts about REGAL ASIAN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REGAL ASIAN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
REGAL ASIAN may become a speculative penny stock
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Asian Investments Boosts Shareholder Value with Buy-Back - TipRanks

Additional Tools for REGAL Stock Analysis

When running REGAL ASIAN's price analysis, check to measure REGAL ASIAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REGAL ASIAN is operating at the current time. Most of REGAL ASIAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REGAL ASIAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REGAL ASIAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REGAL ASIAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.