Fator IFIX (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 52.08
| RBFF11 Fund | BRL 48.26 1.74 3.48% |
Fator |
Fator IFIX Target Price Odds to finish over 52.08
The tendency of Fator Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 52.08 or more in 90 days |
| 48.26 | 90 days | 52.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fator IFIX to move over R$ 52.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fator IFIX Fundo probability density function shows the probability of Fator Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fator IFIX Fundo price to stay between its current price of R$ 48.26 and R$ 52.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fator IFIX Fundo has a beta of -0.0078 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fator IFIX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fator IFIX Fundo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fator IFIX Fundo has an alpha of 0.0414, implying that it can generate a 0.0414 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fator IFIX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fator IFIX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fator IFIX Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fator IFIX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fator IFIX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fator IFIX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fator IFIX Fundo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fator IFIX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0078 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Fator IFIX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fator Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fator IFIX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fator IFIX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 5.17k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 7.93k |
Fator IFIX Technical Analysis
Fator IFIX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fator Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fator IFIX Fundo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fator Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fator IFIX Predictive Forecast Models
Fator IFIX's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fator IFIX's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fator IFIX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fator IFIX in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fator IFIX's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fator IFIX options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Fator Fund
Fator IFIX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fator Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fator with respect to the benefits of owning Fator IFIX security.
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