RB Capital (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 18.33
| RBDS11 Fund | BRL 2.70 0.10 3.57% |
RBDS11 |
RB Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 18.33
The tendency of RBDS11 Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 18.33 or more in 90 days |
| 2.70 | 90 days | 18.33 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RB Capital to move over R$ 18.33 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This RB Capital Development probability density function shows the probability of RBDS11 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RB Capital Development price to stay between its current price of R$ 2.70 and R$ 18.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RB Capital Development has a beta of -0.56 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RB Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RB Capital Development is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RB Capital Development has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. RB Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RB Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RB Capital Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RB Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RB Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RB Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RB Capital Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RB Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
RB Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RB Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RB Capital Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RB Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RB Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
RB Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RBDS11 Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RB Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RB Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 78 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 78 |
RB Capital Technical Analysis
RB Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RBDS11 Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RB Capital Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing RBDS11 Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RB Capital Predictive Forecast Models
RB Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many RB Capital's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RB Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RB Capital Development
Checking the ongoing alerts about RB Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RB Capital Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RB Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RB Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in RBDS11 Fund
RB Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether RBDS11 Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RBDS11 with respect to the benefits of owning RB Capital security.
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets |