Republic Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.96

RBCAA Stock  USD 71.59  0.73  1.03%   
Republic Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Republic Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Republic Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Republic Bancorp Backtesting, Republic Bancorp Valuation, Republic Bancorp Correlation, Republic Bancorp Hype Analysis, Republic Bancorp Volatility, Republic Bancorp History as well as Republic Bancorp Performance.
For information on how to trade Republic Stock refer to our How to Trade Republic Stock guide.
  
At present, Republic Bancorp's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 17.48, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (13.21). Please specify Republic Bancorp's target price for which you would like Republic Bancorp odds to be computed.

Republic Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 60.96

The tendency of Republic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 60.96  in 90 days
 71.59 90 days 60.96 
over 95.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Republic Bancorp to stay above $ 60.96  in 90 days from now is over 95.91 (This Republic Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Republic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Republic Bancorp price to stay between $ 60.96  and its current price of $71.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.39 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Republic Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Republic Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0907, implying that it can generate a 0.0907 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Republic Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Republic Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.8871.4574.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.5053.0778.75
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.7747.0052.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.371.201.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Republic Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Republic Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Republic Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Republic Bancorp.

Republic Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Republic Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Republic Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Republic Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Republic Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.39
σ
Overall volatility
5.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Republic Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Republic Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Republic Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Republic Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Republic Services, Waste Connections and Waste Management

Republic Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Republic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Republic Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Republic Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments907.9 M

Republic Bancorp Technical Analysis

Republic Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Republic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Republic Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Republic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Republic Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Republic Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Republic Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Republic Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Republic Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Republic Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Republic Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Republic Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Republic Services, Waste Connections and Waste Management
When determining whether Republic Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Republic Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Republic Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Republic Bancorp Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Republic Bancorp. If investors know Republic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Republic Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.233
Dividend Share
1.595
Earnings Share
5.26
Revenue Per Share
16.529
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.093
The market value of Republic Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Republic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Republic Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Republic Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Republic Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Republic Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Republic Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Republic Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Republic Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.