Ramada Investimentos (Portugal) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.76

RAM Stock  EUR 6.66  0.02  0.30%   
Ramada Investimentos' future price is the expected price of Ramada Investimentos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ramada Investimentos e performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ramada Investimentos Backtesting, Ramada Investimentos Valuation, Ramada Investimentos Correlation, Ramada Investimentos Hype Analysis, Ramada Investimentos Volatility, Ramada Investimentos History as well as Ramada Investimentos Performance.
  
Please specify Ramada Investimentos' target price for which you would like Ramada Investimentos odds to be computed.

Ramada Investimentos Target Price Odds to finish below 3.76

The tendency of Ramada Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 3.76  or more in 90 days
 6.66 90 days 3.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ramada Investimentos to drop to € 3.76  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ramada Investimentos e probability density function shows the probability of Ramada Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ramada Investimentos price to stay between € 3.76  and its current price of €6.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ramada Investimentos has a beta of 0.49 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ramada Investimentos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ramada Investimentos e will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ramada Investimentos e has an alpha of 0.1319, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ramada Investimentos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ramada Investimentos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramada Investimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.866.669.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.806.599.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.996.799.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.416.586.76
Details

Ramada Investimentos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ramada Investimentos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ramada Investimentos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ramada Investimentos e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ramada Investimentos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ramada Investimentos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ramada Investimentos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ramada Investimentos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ramada Investimentos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ramada Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ramada Investimentos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ramada Investimentos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.6 M

Ramada Investimentos Technical Analysis

Ramada Investimentos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ramada Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ramada Investimentos e. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ramada Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ramada Investimentos Predictive Forecast Models

Ramada Investimentos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ramada Investimentos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ramada Investimentos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ramada Investimentos

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ramada Investimentos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ramada Investimentos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Ramada Stock Analysis

When running Ramada Investimentos' price analysis, check to measure Ramada Investimentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ramada Investimentos is operating at the current time. Most of Ramada Investimentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ramada Investimentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ramada Investimentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ramada Investimentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.