Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.77
| RAAAX Fund | USD 12.75 0.04 0.31% |
Altegrisaaca |
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish below 11.77
The tendency of Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.77 or more in 90 days |
| 12.75 | 90 days | 11.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic to drop to $ 11.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real probability density function shows the probability of Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic price to stay between $ 11.77 and its current price of $12.75 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Altegrisaaca Opportunistic has a beta of 0.0651 indicating as returns on the market go up, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altegrisaaca Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Altegrisaaca Opportunistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage of Simon Property Group, Inc. - Preferred Stock with Hold Recommendation - MSN | |
| Altegrisaaca Opportunistic generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains 102.7% of its assets in stocks |
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Technical Analysis
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altegrisaaca Opportunistic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altegrisaaca Opportunistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Altegrisaaca Opportunistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Deutsche Bank Initiates Coverage of Simon Property Group, Inc. - Preferred Stock with Hold Recommendation - MSN | |
| Altegrisaaca Opportunistic generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains 102.7% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altegrisaaca with respect to the benefits of owning Altegrisaaca Opportunistic security.
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