Qualicorp Consultoria (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.31
| QUAL3 Stock | BRL 2.32 0.12 5.45% |
Qualicorp |
Qualicorp Consultoria Target Price Odds to finish over 18.31
The tendency of Qualicorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 18.31 or more in 90 days |
| 2.32 | 90 days | 18.31 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qualicorp Consultoria to move over R$ 18.31 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Qualicorp Consultoria e probability density function shows the probability of Qualicorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qualicorp Consultoria price to stay between its current price of R$ 2.32 and R$ 18.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qualicorp Consultoria e has a beta of -0.36 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qualicorp Consultoria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qualicorp Consultoria e is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qualicorp Consultoria e has an alpha of 0.2934, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qualicorp Consultoria Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qualicorp Consultoria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qualicorp Consultoria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qualicorp Consultoria Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qualicorp Consultoria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qualicorp Consultoria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qualicorp Consultoria e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qualicorp Consultoria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Qualicorp Consultoria Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qualicorp Consultoria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qualicorp Consultoria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qualicorp Consultoria had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Qualicorp Consultoria Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qualicorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qualicorp Consultoria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qualicorp Consultoria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 277.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 843.8 M |
Qualicorp Consultoria Technical Analysis
Qualicorp Consultoria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qualicorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qualicorp Consultoria e. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qualicorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qualicorp Consultoria Predictive Forecast Models
Qualicorp Consultoria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qualicorp Consultoria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qualicorp Consultoria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qualicorp Consultoria
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qualicorp Consultoria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qualicorp Consultoria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qualicorp Consultoria had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Qualicorp Stock Analysis
When running Qualicorp Consultoria's price analysis, check to measure Qualicorp Consultoria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualicorp Consultoria is operating at the current time. Most of Qualicorp Consultoria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualicorp Consultoria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualicorp Consultoria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualicorp Consultoria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.