Agfiq Market Neutral Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 18.62

QBTL Etf  CAD 19.04  0.33  1.76%   
AGFiQ Market's future price is the expected price of AGFiQ Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AGFiQ Market Neutral performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AGFiQ Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, AGFiQ Market Correlation, AGFiQ Market Hype Analysis, AGFiQ Market Volatility, AGFiQ Market History as well as AGFiQ Market Performance.
  
Please specify AGFiQ Market's target price for which you would like AGFiQ Market odds to be computed.

AGFiQ Market Target Price Odds to finish below 18.62

The tendency of AGFiQ Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 18.62  or more in 90 days
 19.04 90 days 18.62 
about 1.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGFiQ Market to drop to C$ 18.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This AGFiQ Market Neutral probability density function shows the probability of AGFiQ Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AGFiQ Market Neutral price to stay between C$ 18.62  and its current price of C$19.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AGFiQ Market Neutral has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AGFiQ Market are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AGFiQ Market Neutral is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AGFiQ Market Neutral has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AGFiQ Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AGFiQ Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGFiQ Market Neutral. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2219.0419.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8117.6320.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0818.9019.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4918.8119.13
Details

AGFiQ Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AGFiQ Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AGFiQ Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AGFiQ Market Neutral, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AGFiQ Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

AGFiQ Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AGFiQ Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AGFiQ Market Neutral can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AGFiQ Market Neutral generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

AGFiQ Market Technical Analysis

AGFiQ Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AGFiQ Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGFiQ Market Neutral. In general, you should focus on analyzing AGFiQ Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AGFiQ Market Predictive Forecast Models

AGFiQ Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many AGFiQ Market's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AGFiQ Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AGFiQ Market Neutral

Checking the ongoing alerts about AGFiQ Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AGFiQ Market Neutral help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AGFiQ Market Neutral generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
When determining whether AGFiQ Market Neutral is a strong investment it is important to analyze AGFiQ Market's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AGFiQ Market's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AGFiQ Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AGFiQ Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, AGFiQ Market Correlation, AGFiQ Market Hype Analysis, AGFiQ Market Volatility, AGFiQ Market History as well as AGFiQ Market Performance.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AGFiQ Market's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGFiQ Market is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGFiQ Market's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.