Quality Construction (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.48

Q-CON Stock   9.40  0.05  0.53%   
Quality Construction's future price is the expected price of Quality Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quality Construction Products performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quality Construction Backtesting, Quality Construction Valuation, Quality Construction Correlation, Quality Construction Hype Analysis, Quality Construction Volatility, Quality Construction History as well as Quality Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Quality Construction's target price for which you would like Quality Construction odds to be computed.

Quality Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 11.48

The tendency of Quality Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.48  or more in 90 days
 9.40 90 days 11.48 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quality Construction to move over  11.48  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Quality Construction Products probability density function shows the probability of Quality Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quality Construction price to stay between its current price of  9.40  and  11.48  at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quality Construction has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quality Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quality Construction Products will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quality Construction Products has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Quality Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quality Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quality Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.429.4011.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.969.9411.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.659.6311.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.389.469.54
Details

Quality Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quality Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quality Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quality Construction Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quality Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Quality Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quality Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quality Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quality Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Quality Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quality Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quality Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quality Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400 M

Quality Construction Technical Analysis

Quality Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quality Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quality Construction Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quality Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quality Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Quality Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quality Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quality Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quality Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quality Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quality Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quality Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Quality Stock

Quality Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quality Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quality with respect to the benefits of owning Quality Construction security.