The Payden Regal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.52

PYCHX Fund  USD 6.37  0.01  0.16%   
Payden Regal's future price is the expected price of Payden Regal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Payden Regal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Payden Regal Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Payden Regal Correlation, Payden Regal Hype Analysis, Payden Regal Volatility, Payden Regal History as well as Payden Regal Performance.
  
Please specify Payden Regal's target price for which you would like Payden Regal odds to be computed.

Payden Regal Target Price Odds to finish over 6.52

The tendency of Payden Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.52  or more in 90 days
 6.37 90 days 6.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Payden Regal to move over $ 6.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Payden Regal probability density function shows the probability of Payden Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Payden Regal price to stay between its current price of $ 6.37  and $ 6.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Payden Regal has a beta of 0.0885 indicating as returns on the market go up, Payden Regal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Payden Regal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Payden Regal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Payden Regal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Payden Regal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Payden Regal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.226.376.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.226.376.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.236.386.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.346.366.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Payden Regal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Payden Regal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Payden Regal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Payden Regal.

Payden Regal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Payden Regal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Payden Regal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Payden Regal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Payden Regal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0057
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.72

Payden Regal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Payden Regal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Payden Regal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Payden Regal Technical Analysis

Payden Regal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Payden Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Payden Regal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Payden Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Payden Regal Predictive Forecast Models

Payden Regal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Payden Regal's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Payden Regal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Payden Regal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Payden Regal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Payden Regal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Payden Mutual Fund

Payden Regal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden with respect to the benefits of owning Payden Regal security.
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