Putra Rajawali (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.26
| PURA Stock | IDR 12.00 1.00 7.69% |
Putra |
Putra Rajawali Target Price Odds to finish over 17.26
The tendency of Putra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 17.26 or more in 90 days |
| 12.00 | 90 days | 17.26 | about 18.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putra Rajawali to move over 17.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.53 (This Putra Rajawali Kencana probability density function shows the probability of Putra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putra Rajawali Kencana price to stay between its current price of 12.00 and 17.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Putra Rajawali Kencana has a beta of -1.07 indicating Additionally Putra Rajawali Kencana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Putra Rajawali Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Putra Rajawali
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putra Rajawali Kencana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Putra Rajawali Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putra Rajawali is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putra Rajawali's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putra Rajawali Kencana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putra Rajawali within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Putra Rajawali Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putra Rajawali for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putra Rajawali Kencana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Putra Rajawali generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Putra Rajawali has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Putra Rajawali Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Putra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Putra Rajawali's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Putra Rajawali's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 B |
Putra Rajawali Technical Analysis
Putra Rajawali's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putra Rajawali Kencana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Putra Rajawali Predictive Forecast Models
Putra Rajawali's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putra Rajawali's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putra Rajawali's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Putra Rajawali Kencana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Putra Rajawali for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putra Rajawali Kencana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Putra Rajawali generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Putra Rajawali has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Putra Stock
Putra Rajawali financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putra with respect to the benefits of owning Putra Rajawali security.