Palatin Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.77
| PTN Stock | USD 1.11 0.12 12.12% |
Palatin |
Palatin Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 20.77
The tendency of Palatin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.77 or more in 90 days |
| 1.11 | 90 days | 20.77 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palatin Technologies to move over $ 20.77 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Palatin Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Palatin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Palatin Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 1.11 and $ 20.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Palatin Technologies has a beta of 0.92 indicating Palatin Technologies market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Palatin Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally Palatin Technologies has an alpha of 0.3706, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Palatin Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Palatin Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palatin Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palatin Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Palatin Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palatin Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palatin Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palatin Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palatin Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Palatin Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palatin Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palatin Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Palatin Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Palatin Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Palatin Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Palatin Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.49 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (29.74 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (18.2 M). | |
| Palatin Technologies has about 7.99 M in cash with (31.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Palatin Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Obesity Treatments Target Less Crowded Space, Analyst Sees Long-Term Potential |
Palatin Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palatin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palatin Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palatin Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 M |
Palatin Technologies Technical Analysis
Palatin Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palatin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palatin Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palatin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Palatin Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Palatin Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Palatin Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Palatin Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Palatin Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Palatin Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palatin Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Palatin Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Palatin Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Palatin Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Palatin Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.49 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (29.74 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (18.2 M). | |
| Palatin Technologies has about 7.99 M in cash with (31.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Palatin Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Obesity Treatments Target Less Crowded Space, Analyst Sees Long-Term Potential |
Check out Palatin Technologies Backtesting, Palatin Technologies Valuation, Palatin Technologies Correlation, Palatin Technologies Hype Analysis, Palatin Technologies Volatility, Palatin Technologies History as well as Palatin Technologies Performance. To learn how to invest in Palatin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Palatin Technologies guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Palatin Technologies. If investors know Palatin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Palatin Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.98) | Revenue Per Share 0.306 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.80) | Return On Assets (1.32) | Return On Equity (6.23) |
The market value of Palatin Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Palatin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Palatin Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Palatin Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Palatin Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Palatin Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Palatin Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Palatin Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Palatin Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.