POST TELECOMMU (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32008.03

PTI Stock   32,000  100.00  0.31%   
POST TELECOMMU's future price is the expected price of POST TELECOMMU instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POST TELECOMMU performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POST TELECOMMU Backtesting, POST TELECOMMU Valuation, POST TELECOMMU Correlation, POST TELECOMMU Hype Analysis, POST TELECOMMU Volatility, POST TELECOMMU History as well as POST TELECOMMU Performance.
  
Please specify POST TELECOMMU's target price for which you would like POST TELECOMMU odds to be computed.

POST TELECOMMU Target Price Odds to finish below 32008.03

The tendency of POST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  32,008  after 90 days
 32,000 90 days 32,008 
about 80.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POST TELECOMMU to stay under  32,008  after 90 days from now is about 80.43 (This POST TELECOMMU probability density function shows the probability of POST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POST TELECOMMU price to stay between its current price of  32,000  and  32,008  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POST TELECOMMU has a beta of -0.0853 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding POST TELECOMMU are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, POST TELECOMMU is likely to outperform the market. Additionally POST TELECOMMU has an alpha of 0.0986, implying that it can generate a 0.0986 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   POST TELECOMMU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POST TELECOMMU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POST TELECOMMU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31,99732,00032,003
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26,66726,67035,200
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32,00532,00832,011
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30,08331,80033,517
Details

POST TELECOMMU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POST TELECOMMU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POST TELECOMMU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POST TELECOMMU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POST TELECOMMU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1,054
Ir
Information ratio -0.0089

POST TELECOMMU Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POST TELECOMMU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POST TELECOMMU can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POST TELECOMMU had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

POST TELECOMMU Technical Analysis

POST TELECOMMU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POST TELECOMMU. In general, you should focus on analyzing POST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POST TELECOMMU Predictive Forecast Models

POST TELECOMMU's time-series forecasting models is one of many POST TELECOMMU's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POST TELECOMMU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POST TELECOMMU

Checking the ongoing alerts about POST TELECOMMU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POST TELECOMMU help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POST TELECOMMU had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in POST Stock

POST TELECOMMU financial ratios help investors to determine whether POST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POST with respect to the benefits of owning POST TELECOMMU security.