Postal Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.58
| PSTL Stock | USD 13.81 0.06 0.44% |
Postal |
Postal Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 13.58
The tendency of Postal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 13.58 in 90 days |
| 13.81 | 90 days | 13.58 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Postal Realty to stay above $ 13.58 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Postal Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Postal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Postal Realty Trust price to stay between $ 13.58 and its current price of $13.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Postal Realty has a beta of 0.45 indicating as returns on the market go up, Postal Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Postal Realty Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Postal Realty Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Postal Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Postal Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Postal Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Postal Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Postal Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Postal Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Postal Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Postal Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Postal Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Postal Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Postal Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Postal Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Postal Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Postal Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Postal Realty paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Postal Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Postal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Postal Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Postal Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Postal Realty Technical Analysis
Postal Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Postal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Postal Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Postal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Postal Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Postal Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Postal Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Postal Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Postal Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Postal Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Postal Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Postal Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Postal Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Postal Realty paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Postal Realty Backtesting, Postal Realty Valuation, Postal Realty Correlation, Postal Realty Hype Analysis, Postal Realty Volatility, Postal Realty History as well as Postal Realty Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Postal Realty. If investors know Postal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Postal Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 3.252 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.221 |
The market value of Postal Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Postal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Postal Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Postal Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Postal Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Postal Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Postal Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Postal Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Postal Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.