Pelita Samudera (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 422.0
| PSSI Stock | IDR 416.00 4.00 0.95% |
Pelita |
Pelita Samudera Target Price Odds to finish below 422.0
The tendency of Pelita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 422.00 after 90 days |
| 416.00 | 90 days | 422.00 | about 11.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pelita Samudera to stay under 422.00 after 90 days from now is about 11.12 (This Pelita Samudera Shipping probability density function shows the probability of Pelita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pelita Samudera Shipping price to stay between its current price of 416.00 and 422.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pelita Samudera Shipping has a beta of -0.0766 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pelita Samudera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pelita Samudera Shipping is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pelita Samudera Shipping has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pelita Samudera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pelita Samudera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelita Samudera Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pelita Samudera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pelita Samudera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pelita Samudera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pelita Samudera Shipping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pelita Samudera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Pelita Samudera Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pelita Samudera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pelita Samudera Shipping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pelita Samudera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pelita Samudera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pelita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pelita Samudera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pelita Samudera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.1 M |
Pelita Samudera Technical Analysis
Pelita Samudera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pelita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pelita Samudera Shipping. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pelita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pelita Samudera Predictive Forecast Models
Pelita Samudera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pelita Samudera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pelita Samudera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pelita Samudera Shipping
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pelita Samudera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pelita Samudera Shipping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pelita Samudera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pelita Stock
Pelita Samudera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pelita Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pelita with respect to the benefits of owning Pelita Samudera security.