Sprott Physical Silver Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.52

PSLV Stock  CAD 15.17  0.04  0.26%   
Sprott Physical's future price is the expected price of Sprott Physical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sprott Physical Silver performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sprott Physical Backtesting, Sprott Physical Valuation, Sprott Physical Correlation, Sprott Physical Hype Analysis, Sprott Physical Volatility, Sprott Physical History as well as Sprott Physical Performance.
  
At this time, Sprott Physical's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 12th of December 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.53, though Price To Sales Ratio is likely to grow to (79.67). Please specify Sprott Physical's target price for which you would like Sprott Physical odds to be computed.

Sprott Physical Target Price Odds to finish below 12.52

The tendency of Sprott Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 12.52  or more in 90 days
 15.17 90 days 12.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sprott Physical to drop to C$ 12.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sprott Physical Silver probability density function shows the probability of Sprott Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sprott Physical Silver price to stay between C$ 12.52  and its current price of C$15.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sprott Physical has a beta of 0.33 indicating as returns on the market go up, Sprott Physical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sprott Physical Silver will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sprott Physical Silver has an alpha of 0.1812, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sprott Physical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sprott Physical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Physical Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3615.1616.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2915.0916.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8515.6417.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0614.6615.26
Details

Sprott Physical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sprott Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sprott Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sprott Physical Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sprott Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Sprott Physical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sprott Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sprott Physical Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sprott Physical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (53.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Sprott Physical generates negative cash flow from operations

Sprott Physical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sprott Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sprott Physical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprott Physical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding498.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Sprott Physical Technical Analysis

Sprott Physical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sprott Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sprott Physical Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sprott Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sprott Physical Predictive Forecast Models

Sprott Physical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sprott Physical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sprott Physical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sprott Physical Silver

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sprott Physical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sprott Physical Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sprott Physical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (53.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Sprott Physical generates negative cash flow from operations
When determining whether Sprott Physical Silver is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprott Physical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprott Physical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprott Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Physical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Physical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprott Physical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.