Pimco Real Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.95

PRTPX Fund  USD 11.59  0.02  0.17%   
Pimco Real's future price is the expected price of Pimco Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Real Return performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Real Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Real Correlation, Pimco Real Hype Analysis, Pimco Real Volatility, Pimco Real History as well as Pimco Real Performance.
  
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Pimco Real Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.95  after 90 days
 11.59 90 days 11.95 
about 12.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Real to stay under $ 11.95  after 90 days from now is about 12.81 (This Pimco Real Return probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Real Return price to stay between its current price of $ 11.59  and $ 11.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Real has a beta of 0.14 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Real Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Real Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pimco Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Real Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8111.6112.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9811.7812.58
Details

Pimco Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Real Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Pimco Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Real Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Real Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pimco Real Return generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Pimco Real Technical Analysis

Pimco Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Real Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Real Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Real's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Real Return

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Real Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Real Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pimco Real Return generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Real security.
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