Profile Systems (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.15
| PROF Stock | EUR 5.22 0.02 0.38% |
Profile |
Profile Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 5.15
The tendency of Profile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.15 or more in 90 days |
| 5.22 | 90 days | 5.15 | about 37.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Profile Systems to drop to € 5.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 37.5 (This Profile Systems Software probability density function shows the probability of Profile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Profile Systems Software price to stay between € 5.15 and its current price of €5.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Profile Systems Software has a beta of -0.0933 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Profile Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Profile Systems Software is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Profile Systems Software has an alpha of 0.155, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Profile Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Profile Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Profile Systems Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Profile Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Profile Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Profile Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Profile Systems Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Profile Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Profile Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Profile Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Profile Systems Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Profile Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Profile Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Profile Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Profile Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Profile Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 585 K | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.7 M |
Profile Systems Technical Analysis
Profile Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Profile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Profile Systems Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Profile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Profile Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Profile Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Profile Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Profile Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Profile Systems Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about Profile Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Profile Systems Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Profile Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Profile Stock Analysis
When running Profile Systems' price analysis, check to measure Profile Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Profile Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Profile Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Profile Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Profile Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Profile Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.