POLAR POWER (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.86

PPW Stock  EUR 2.88  0.00  0.00%   
POLAR POWER's future price is the expected price of POLAR POWER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POLAR POWER INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POLAR POWER Backtesting, POLAR POWER Valuation, POLAR POWER Correlation, POLAR POWER Hype Analysis, POLAR POWER Volatility, POLAR POWER History as well as POLAR POWER Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in POLAR Stock please use our How to Invest in POLAR POWER guide.
  
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POLAR POWER Target Price Odds to finish over 2.86

The tendency of POLAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.86  in 90 days
 2.88 90 days 2.86 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POLAR POWER to stay above € 2.86  in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This POLAR POWER INC probability density function shows the probability of POLAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POLAR POWER INC price to stay between € 2.86  and its current price of €2.88 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, POLAR POWER will likely underperform. Additionally POLAR POWER INC has an alpha of 0.333, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   POLAR POWER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POLAR POWER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POLAR POWER INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.8811.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.5411.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.0511.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.882.882.88
Details

POLAR POWER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POLAR POWER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POLAR POWER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POLAR POWER INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POLAR POWER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

POLAR POWER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POLAR POWER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POLAR POWER INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLAR POWER INC is way too risky over 90 days horizon
POLAR POWER INC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 14.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.44 M.
POLAR POWER INC has accumulated about 8.54 M in cash with (9.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

POLAR POWER Technical Analysis

POLAR POWER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POLAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POLAR POWER INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing POLAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POLAR POWER Predictive Forecast Models

POLAR POWER's time-series forecasting models is one of many POLAR POWER's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POLAR POWER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POLAR POWER INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about POLAR POWER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POLAR POWER INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLAR POWER INC is way too risky over 90 days horizon
POLAR POWER INC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 14.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.44 M.
POLAR POWER INC has accumulated about 8.54 M in cash with (9.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in POLAR Stock

POLAR POWER financial ratios help investors to determine whether POLAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POLAR with respect to the benefits of owning POLAR POWER security.