Cikarang Listrindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 703.86
| POWR Stock | IDR 710.00 5.00 0.71% |
Cikarang |
Cikarang Listrindo Target Price Odds to finish below 703.86
The tendency of Cikarang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 703.86 or more in 90 days |
| 710.00 | 90 days | 703.86 | about 68.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cikarang Listrindo to drop to 703.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.15 (This Cikarang Listrindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Cikarang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cikarang Listrindo Tbk price to stay between 703.86 and its current price of 710.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cikarang Listrindo has a beta of 0.17 indicating as returns on the market go up, Cikarang Listrindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cikarang Listrindo Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cikarang Listrindo Tbk has an alpha of 0.0398, implying that it can generate a 0.0398 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cikarang Listrindo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cikarang Listrindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cikarang Listrindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cikarang Listrindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cikarang Listrindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cikarang Listrindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cikarang Listrindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cikarang Listrindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Cikarang Listrindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cikarang Listrindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cikarang Listrindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Cikarang Listrindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cikarang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cikarang Listrindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cikarang Listrindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390 M |
Cikarang Listrindo Technical Analysis
Cikarang Listrindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cikarang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cikarang Listrindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cikarang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cikarang Listrindo Predictive Forecast Models
Cikarang Listrindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cikarang Listrindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cikarang Listrindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cikarang Listrindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cikarang Listrindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cikarang Listrindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Cikarang Stock
Cikarang Listrindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cikarang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cikarang with respect to the benefits of owning Cikarang Listrindo security.