PNC Financial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 198.22

PNP Stock  EUR 196.00  2.00  1.01%   
PNC Financial's future price is the expected price of PNC Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The PNC Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PNC Financial Backtesting, PNC Financial Valuation, PNC Financial Correlation, PNC Financial Hype Analysis, PNC Financial Volatility, PNC Financial History as well as PNC Financial Performance.
  
Please specify PNC Financial's target price for which you would like PNC Financial odds to be computed.

PNC Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 198.22

The tendency of PNC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 198.22  after 90 days
 196.00 90 days 198.22 
about 90.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PNC Financial to stay under € 198.22  after 90 days from now is about 90.98 (This The PNC Financial probability density function shows the probability of PNC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PNC Financial price to stay between its current price of € 196.00  and € 198.22  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PNC Financial has a beta of 0.62 indicating as returns on the market go up, PNC Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The PNC Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The PNC Financial has an alpha of 0.2178, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PNC Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PNC Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
194.22196.00197.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.67158.45215.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
188.46190.23192.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
187.57196.96206.35
Details

PNC Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PNC Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PNC Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The PNC Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PNC Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
15.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

PNC Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PNC Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PNC Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

PNC Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PNC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PNC Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PNC Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding401 M

PNC Financial Technical Analysis

PNC Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PNC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The PNC Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing PNC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PNC Financial Predictive Forecast Models

PNC Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many PNC Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PNC Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PNC Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about PNC Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PNC Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in PNC Stock

PNC Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether PNC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PNC with respect to the benefits of owning PNC Financial security.