Putnam Multi Cap Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 151.87

PNOYX Fund  USD 140.07  1.35  0.97%   
Putnam Multi's future price is the expected price of Putnam Multi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Putnam Multi Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Putnam Multi Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Putnam Multi Correlation, Putnam Multi Hype Analysis, Putnam Multi Volatility, Putnam Multi History as well as Putnam Multi Performance.
  
Please specify Putnam Multi's target price for which you would like Putnam Multi odds to be computed.

Putnam Multi Target Price Odds to finish below 151.87

The tendency of Putnam Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 151.87  after 90 days
 140.07 90 days 151.87 
about 59.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putnam Multi to stay under $ 151.87  after 90 days from now is about 59.55 (This Putnam Multi Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Putnam Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putnam Multi Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 140.07  and $ 151.87  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Putnam Multi has a beta of 0.88 indicating Putnam Multi Cap Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Putnam Multi is expected to follow. Additionally Putnam Multi Cap Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Putnam Multi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Putnam Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putnam Multi Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Putnam Multi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.84140.07141.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.06142.17143.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
135.58136.81138.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
134.42147.82161.23
Details

Putnam Multi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putnam Multi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putnam Multi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putnam Multi Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putnam Multi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
4.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Putnam Multi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putnam Multi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putnam Multi Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Putnam Multi Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.6% of its assets in stocks

Putnam Multi Technical Analysis

Putnam Multi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putnam Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putnam Multi Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putnam Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Putnam Multi Predictive Forecast Models

Putnam Multi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putnam Multi's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putnam Multi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Putnam Multi Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Putnam Multi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putnam Multi Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Putnam Multi Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.6% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Putnam Mutual Fund

Putnam Multi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putnam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putnam with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam Multi security.
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