PHOENIX N (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 439.0
| PMN Stock | 423.00 1.00 0.24% |
PHOENIX |
PHOENIX N Target Price Odds to finish below 439.0
The tendency of PHOENIX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 439.00 after 90 days |
| 423.00 | 90 days | 439.00 | about 44.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHOENIX N to stay under 439.00 after 90 days from now is about 44.95 (This PHOENIX N AG probability density function shows the probability of PHOENIX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHOENIX N AG price to stay between its current price of 423.00 and 439.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PHOENIX N AG has a beta of -0.1 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PHOENIX N are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PHOENIX N AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PHOENIX N AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PHOENIX N Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PHOENIX N
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHOENIX N AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PHOENIX N Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHOENIX N is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHOENIX N's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHOENIX N AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHOENIX N within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
PHOENIX N Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PHOENIX N for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PHOENIX N AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PHOENIX N AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
PHOENIX N Technical Analysis
PHOENIX N's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHOENIX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHOENIX N AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHOENIX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PHOENIX N Predictive Forecast Models
PHOENIX N's time-series forecasting models is one of many PHOENIX N's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHOENIX N's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PHOENIX N AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about PHOENIX N for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PHOENIX N AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PHOENIX N AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for PHOENIX Stock Analysis
When running PHOENIX N's price analysis, check to measure PHOENIX N's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PHOENIX N is operating at the current time. Most of PHOENIX N's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PHOENIX N's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PHOENIX N's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PHOENIX N to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.