Pimco International Stocksplus Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.89

PIPAX Fund  USD 7.86  0.06  0.76%   
Pimco International's future price is the expected price of Pimco International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco International Stocksplus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco International Correlation, Pimco International Hype Analysis, Pimco International Volatility, Pimco International History as well as Pimco International Performance.
  
Please specify Pimco International's target price for which you would like Pimco International odds to be computed.

Pimco International Target Price Odds to finish over 7.89

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.89  or more in 90 days
 7.86 90 days 7.89 
about 7.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco International to move over $ 7.89  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.81 (This Pimco International Stocksplus probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco International price to stay between its current price of $ 7.86  and $ 7.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco International has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco International Stocksplus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco International Stocksplus has an alpha of 0.0196, implying that it can generate a 0.0196 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pimco International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.287.868.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.267.848.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco International.

Pimco International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco International Stocksplus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Pimco International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.27% of its assets in bonds

Pimco International Technical Analysis

Pimco International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco International Stocksplus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco International Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.27% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco International security.
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