PLASTIC INDUSTRY (Mauritius) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.0
| PIM Stock | 44.25 0.25 0.57% |
PLASTIC |
PLASTIC INDUSTRY Target Price Odds to finish below 38.0
The tendency of PLASTIC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 38.00 or more in 90 days |
| 44.25 | 90 days | 38.00 | about 16.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PLASTIC INDUSTRY to drop to 38.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.71 (This PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD probability density function shows the probability of PLASTIC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD price to stay between 38.00 and its current price of 44.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD has a beta of -0.31 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PLASTIC INDUSTRY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD has an alpha of 0.3747, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PLASTIC INDUSTRY Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PLASTIC INDUSTRY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PLASTIC INDUSTRY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PLASTIC INDUSTRY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PLASTIC INDUSTRY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PLASTIC INDUSTRY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PLASTIC INDUSTRY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
PLASTIC INDUSTRY Technical Analysis
PLASTIC INDUSTRY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PLASTIC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PLASTIC INDUSTRY LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing PLASTIC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PLASTIC INDUSTRY Predictive Forecast Models
PLASTIC INDUSTRY's time-series forecasting models is one of many PLASTIC INDUSTRY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PLASTIC INDUSTRY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PLASTIC INDUSTRY in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PLASTIC INDUSTRY's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PLASTIC INDUSTRY options trading.