P3 Health Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0492
| PIIIW Stock | USD 0.01 0 21.17% |
PIIIW |
P3 Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0492
The tendency of PIIIW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 70.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of P3 Health to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days from now is about 70.83 (This P3 Health Partners probability density function shows the probability of PIIIW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of P3 Health Partners price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon P3 Health Partners has a beta of -6.87 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding P3 Health Partners are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, P3 Health is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally P3 Health Partners has an alpha of 0.9257, implying that it can generate a 0.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). P3 Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for P3 Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as P3 Health Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.P3 Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. P3 Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the P3 Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold P3 Health Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of P3 Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -6.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0031 |
P3 Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of P3 Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for P3 Health Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| P3 Health Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| P3 Health Partners has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| P3 Health Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| P3 Health Partners has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| P3 Health Partners has accumulated 121.94 M in total debt. P3 Health Partners has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about P3 Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| P3 Health Partners has accumulated about 4.34 M in cash with (76.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| P3 Health Partners has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Some P3 Health Partners Inc. Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Years Estimates - Simply Wall St |
P3 Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PIIIW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential P3 Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. P3 Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 294.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.3 M |
P3 Health Technical Analysis
P3 Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PIIIW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of P3 Health Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing PIIIW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
P3 Health Predictive Forecast Models
P3 Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many P3 Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary P3 Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about P3 Health Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about P3 Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for P3 Health Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| P3 Health Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| P3 Health Partners has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| P3 Health Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| P3 Health Partners has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| P3 Health Partners has accumulated 121.94 M in total debt. P3 Health Partners has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about P3 Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| P3 Health Partners has accumulated about 4.34 M in cash with (76.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| P3 Health Partners has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Some P3 Health Partners Inc. Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Years Estimates - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for PIIIW Stock Analysis
When running P3 Health's price analysis, check to measure P3 Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy P3 Health is operating at the current time. Most of P3 Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of P3 Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move P3 Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of P3 Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.