Pak Gulf (Pakistan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.23
| PGLC Stock | 11.80 0.36 2.96% |
Pak |
Pak Gulf Target Price Odds to finish below 6.23
The tendency of Pak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.23 or more in 90 days |
| 11.80 | 90 days | 6.23 | about 7.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pak Gulf to drop to 6.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.69 (This Pak Gulf Leasing probability density function shows the probability of Pak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pak Gulf Leasing price to stay between 6.23 and its current price of 11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pak Gulf Leasing has a beta of -0.5 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pak Gulf are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pak Gulf Leasing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pak Gulf Leasing has an alpha of 0.8641, implying that it can generate a 0.86 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pak Gulf Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pak Gulf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pak Gulf Leasing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pak Gulf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pak Gulf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pak Gulf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pak Gulf Leasing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pak Gulf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Pak Gulf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pak Gulf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pak Gulf Leasing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pak Gulf Leasing is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pak Gulf Leasing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Pak Gulf Technical Analysis
Pak Gulf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pak Gulf Leasing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pak Gulf Predictive Forecast Models
Pak Gulf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pak Gulf's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pak Gulf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pak Gulf Leasing
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pak Gulf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pak Gulf Leasing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pak Gulf Leasing is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pak Gulf Leasing appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in Pak Stock
Pak Gulf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pak with respect to the benefits of owning Pak Gulf security.