Allianzgi Focused Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 80.45

PGFIX Fund  USD 82.31  0.72  0.87%   
Allianzgi Focused's future price is the expected price of Allianzgi Focused instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Allianzgi Focused Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Allianzgi Focused Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Allianzgi Focused Correlation, Allianzgi Focused Hype Analysis, Allianzgi Focused Volatility, Allianzgi Focused History as well as Allianzgi Focused Performance.
  
Please specify Allianzgi Focused's target price for which you would like Allianzgi Focused odds to be computed.

Allianzgi Focused Target Price Odds to finish below 80.45

The tendency of Allianzgi Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 80.45  or more in 90 days
 82.31 90 days 80.45 
about 83.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allianzgi Focused to drop to $ 80.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.1 (This Allianzgi Focused Growth probability density function shows the probability of Allianzgi Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allianzgi Focused Growth price to stay between $ 80.45  and its current price of $82.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Allianzgi Focused has a beta of 0.0698 indicating as returns on the market go up, Allianzgi Focused average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allianzgi Focused Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allianzgi Focused Growth has an alpha of 0.2422, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allianzgi Focused Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allianzgi Focused

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allianzgi Focused Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.3582.3183.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0888.5289.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.4683.4284.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.8379.7783.70
Details

Allianzgi Focused Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allianzgi Focused is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allianzgi Focused's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allianzgi Focused Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allianzgi Focused within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Allianzgi Focused Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allianzgi Focused for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allianzgi Focused Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.81% of its assets in stocks

Allianzgi Focused Technical Analysis

Allianzgi Focused's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allianzgi Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allianzgi Focused Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allianzgi Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Allianzgi Focused Predictive Forecast Models

Allianzgi Focused's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allianzgi Focused's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allianzgi Focused's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Allianzgi Focused Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allianzgi Focused for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allianzgi Focused Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.81% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Allianzgi Mutual Fund

Allianzgi Focused financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allianzgi Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allianzgi with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi Focused security.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world