Virtus Senior Floating Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.17
| PFSRX Fund | USD 8.76 0.01 0.11% |
Virtus |
Virtus Senior Target Price Odds to finish over 8.17
The tendency of Virtus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.17 in 90 days |
| 8.76 | 90 days | 8.17 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus Senior to stay above $ 8.17 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Virtus Senior Floating probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Virtus Senior Floating price to stay between $ 8.17 and its current price of $8.76 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Virtus Senior Floating has a beta of -0.0032 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Virtus Senior are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Virtus Senior Floating is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Virtus Senior Floating has an alpha of 0.0148, implying that it can generate a 0.0148 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Virtus Senior Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Virtus Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Senior Floating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Virtus Senior Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus Senior Floating, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0032 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.92 |
Virtus Senior Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus Senior Floating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 13.08% of its assets in bonds |
Virtus Senior Technical Analysis
Virtus Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus Senior Floating. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Virtus Senior Predictive Forecast Models
Virtus Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus Senior's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Virtus Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Virtus Senior Floating
Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus Senior Floating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 13.08% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Virtus Mutual Fund
Virtus Senior financial ratios help investors to determine whether Virtus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Virtus with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus Senior security.
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