Penta Teknoloji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.39

PENTA Stock   15.99  0.32  2.04%   
Penta Teknoloji's future price is the expected price of Penta Teknoloji instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Penta Teknoloji Urunleri performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Penta Teknoloji Backtesting, Penta Teknoloji Valuation, Penta Teknoloji Correlation, Penta Teknoloji Hype Analysis, Penta Teknoloji Volatility, Penta Teknoloji History as well as Penta Teknoloji Performance.
  
Please specify Penta Teknoloji's target price for which you would like Penta Teknoloji odds to be computed.

Penta Teknoloji Target Price Odds to finish below 15.39

The tendency of Penta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  15.39  or more in 90 days
 15.99 90 days 15.39 
about 86.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Penta Teknoloji to drop to  15.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.18 (This Penta Teknoloji Urunleri probability density function shows the probability of Penta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Penta Teknoloji Urunleri price to stay between  15.39  and its current price of 15.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Penta Teknoloji has a beta of 0.65 indicating as returns on the market go up, Penta Teknoloji average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Penta Teknoloji Urunleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Penta Teknoloji Urunleri has an alpha of 0.0659, implying that it can generate a 0.0659 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Penta Teknoloji Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Penta Teknoloji

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penta Teknoloji Urunleri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1415.9917.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3615.2117.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Penta Teknoloji. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Penta Teknoloji's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Penta Teknoloji's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Penta Teknoloji Urunleri.

Penta Teknoloji Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Penta Teknoloji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Penta Teknoloji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Penta Teknoloji Urunleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Penta Teknoloji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Penta Teknoloji Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Penta Teknoloji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Penta Teknoloji Urunleri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penta Teknoloji has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 405.36 M.
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Penta Teknoloji Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Penta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Penta Teknoloji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penta Teknoloji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding393.5 M

Penta Teknoloji Technical Analysis

Penta Teknoloji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Penta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Penta Teknoloji Urunleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Penta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Penta Teknoloji Predictive Forecast Models

Penta Teknoloji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Penta Teknoloji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Penta Teknoloji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Penta Teknoloji Urunleri

Checking the ongoing alerts about Penta Teknoloji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Penta Teknoloji Urunleri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penta Teknoloji has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 405.36 M.
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Penta Stock

Penta Teknoloji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Penta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Penta with respect to the benefits of owning Penta Teknoloji security.