Peker Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.54
| PEKGY Stock | 1.52 0.05 3.40% |
Peker |
Peker Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 1.54
The tendency of Peker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.54 after 90 days |
| 1.52 | 90 days | 1.54 | about 61.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peker Gayrimenkul to stay under 1.54 after 90 days from now is about 61.6 (This Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Peker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between its current price of 1.52 and 1.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Peker Gayrimenkul has a beta of 0.0062 indicating as returns on the market go up, Peker Gayrimenkul average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.037, implying that it can generate a 0.037 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Peker Gayrimenkul Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Peker Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Peker Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Peker Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peker Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peker Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peker Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Peker Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peker Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Peker Gayrimenkul may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Peker Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Peker Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peker Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peker Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 669.8 M |
Peker Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Peker Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Peker Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Peker Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peker Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peker Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Peker Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peker Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Peker Gayrimenkul may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Peker Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Peker Stock
Peker Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peker Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peker with respect to the benefits of owning Peker Gayrimenkul security.