Pimco Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.42

PCKAX Fund  USD 7.95  0.06  0.75%   
Pimco Small's future price is the expected price of Pimco Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Small Correlation, Pimco Small Hype Analysis, Pimco Small Volatility, Pimco Small History as well as Pimco Small Performance.
  
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Pimco Small Target Price Odds to finish over 7.42

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 7.42  in 90 days
 7.95 90 days 7.42 
about 84.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Small to stay above $ 7.42  in 90 days from now is about 84.13 (This Pimco Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Small Cap price to stay between $ 7.42  and its current price of $7.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.55 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pimco Small will likely underperform. Additionally Pimco Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0108, implying that it can generate a 0.0108 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pimco Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.697.959.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.667.929.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco Small Cap.

Pimco Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Pimco Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.92% of its assets in bonds

Pimco Small Technical Analysis

Pimco Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Small Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.92% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Small security.
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