Perpetual Credit (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.09
| PCI Stock | 1.16 0.01 0.85% |
Perpetual |
Perpetual Credit Target Price Odds to finish below 1.09
The tendency of Perpetual Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.09 or more in 90 days |
| 1.16 | 90 days | 1.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perpetual Credit to drop to 1.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Perpetual Credit Income probability density function shows the probability of Perpetual Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perpetual Credit Income price to stay between 1.09 and its current price of 1.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Perpetual Credit Income has a beta of -0.22 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Perpetual Credit are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Perpetual Credit Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Perpetual Credit Income has an alpha of 0.0861, implying that it can generate a 0.0861 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Perpetual Credit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perpetual Credit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perpetual Credit Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perpetual Credit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perpetual Credit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perpetual Credit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perpetual Credit Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perpetual Credit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Perpetual Credit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perpetual Credit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perpetual Credit Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Perpetual Credit may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Perpetual Credit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Abrdn Income Credit Strategies Fund 5.25 percent Series A Perpetual Preferred Shares Declare Quarterly Dividend - Index-Journal |
Perpetual Credit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perpetual Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perpetual Credit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perpetual Credit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 401 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Perpetual Credit Technical Analysis
Perpetual Credit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perpetual Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perpetual Credit Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perpetual Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perpetual Credit Predictive Forecast Models
Perpetual Credit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perpetual Credit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perpetual Credit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perpetual Credit Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perpetual Credit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perpetual Credit Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Perpetual Credit may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Perpetual Credit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Abrdn Income Credit Strategies Fund 5.25 percent Series A Perpetual Preferred Shares Declare Quarterly Dividend - Index-Journal |
Additional Tools for Perpetual Stock Analysis
When running Perpetual Credit's price analysis, check to measure Perpetual Credit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perpetual Credit is operating at the current time. Most of Perpetual Credit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perpetual Credit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perpetual Credit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perpetual Credit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.