Paxman AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.09
| PAX Stock | SEK 62.80 1.00 1.57% |
Paxman |
Paxman AB Target Price Odds to finish below 53.09
The tendency of Paxman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 53.09 or more in 90 days |
| 62.80 | 90 days | 53.09 | about 5.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paxman AB to drop to kr 53.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.05 (This Paxman AB probability density function shows the probability of Paxman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paxman AB price to stay between kr 53.09 and its current price of kr62.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Paxman AB has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, Paxman AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Paxman AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Paxman AB has an alpha of 0.1982, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Paxman AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Paxman AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paxman AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Paxman AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paxman AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paxman AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paxman AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paxman AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Paxman AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paxman AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paxman AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Paxman AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated kr5.83 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated 5.83 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Paxman AB has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Paxman AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Paxman AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Paxman AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Paxman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Paxman AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 96.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 64.52 M. | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated about 224 K in cash with (4.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of Paxman AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Paxman AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paxman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paxman AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paxman AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.3 M |
Paxman AB Technical Analysis
Paxman AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paxman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paxman AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paxman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Paxman AB Predictive Forecast Models
Paxman AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Paxman AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paxman AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Paxman AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Paxman AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paxman AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Paxman AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated kr5.83 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated 5.83 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Paxman AB has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Paxman AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Paxman AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Paxman AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Paxman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Paxman AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 96.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 64.52 M. | |
| Paxman AB has accumulated about 224 K in cash with (4.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of Paxman AB outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Paxman Stock Analysis
When running Paxman AB's price analysis, check to measure Paxman AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paxman AB is operating at the current time. Most of Paxman AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paxman AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paxman AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paxman AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.