PARKEN Sport (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 110.18

PARKEN Stock  DKK 126.00  1.50  1.18%   
PARKEN Sport's future price is the expected price of PARKEN Sport instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PARKEN Sport Entertainment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PARKEN Sport Backtesting, PARKEN Sport Valuation, PARKEN Sport Correlation, PARKEN Sport Hype Analysis, PARKEN Sport Volatility, PARKEN Sport History as well as PARKEN Sport Performance.
  
Please specify PARKEN Sport's target price for which you would like PARKEN Sport odds to be computed.

PARKEN Sport Target Price Odds to finish below 110.18

The tendency of PARKEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 110.18  or more in 90 days
 126.00 90 days 110.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PARKEN Sport to drop to kr 110.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PARKEN Sport Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of PARKEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PARKEN Sport Enterta price to stay between kr 110.18  and its current price of kr126.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PARKEN Sport has a beta of 0.46 indicating as returns on the market go up, PARKEN Sport average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PARKEN Sport Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PARKEN Sport Entertainment has an alpha of 0.0758, implying that it can generate a 0.0758 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PARKEN Sport Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PARKEN Sport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PARKEN Sport Enterta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PARKEN Sport's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
123.31126.00128.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.94124.62127.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
124.39127.08129.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
113.28120.88128.47
Details

PARKEN Sport Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PARKEN Sport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PARKEN Sport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PARKEN Sport Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PARKEN Sport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

PARKEN Sport Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PARKEN Sport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PARKEN Sport Enterta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PARKEN Sport Enterta has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
PARKEN Sport Entertainment has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 162.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PARKEN Sport Enterta has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PARKEN Sport until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PARKEN Sport's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PARKEN Sport Enterta sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PARKEN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PARKEN Sport's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 73.0% of PARKEN Sport outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PARKEN Sport Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PARKEN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PARKEN Sport's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PARKEN Sport's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.8 M

PARKEN Sport Technical Analysis

PARKEN Sport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PARKEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PARKEN Sport Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing PARKEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PARKEN Sport Predictive Forecast Models

PARKEN Sport's time-series forecasting models is one of many PARKEN Sport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PARKEN Sport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PARKEN Sport Enterta

Checking the ongoing alerts about PARKEN Sport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PARKEN Sport Enterta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PARKEN Sport Enterta has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
PARKEN Sport Entertainment has accumulated 1.2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 162.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PARKEN Sport Enterta has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PARKEN Sport until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PARKEN Sport's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PARKEN Sport Enterta sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PARKEN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PARKEN Sport's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 73.0% of PARKEN Sport outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in PARKEN Stock

PARKEN Sport financial ratios help investors to determine whether PARKEN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PARKEN with respect to the benefits of owning PARKEN Sport security.